Before last week, asking for Donald Trump's impeachment worked well for many Democrats running for the presidential nomination in 2020. It was a way to stand out, at least a little. But now the impeachment is real and the Democrats have lined up, making it difficult to create a niche. This is one of the most important periods of the campaign season, when each Democrat stands out from the crowd, but in impeachment their opinions should be like shades of green in a paint catalog – distinctive only to the kind of consumer who insists on Sweet Grama. the fragrant spruce. This makes the latest developments an opportunity and a headache. So far, we are seeing a subtle but noteworthy specter of impeachment among the Democrats of 2020, with support that goes from warm to hot. Everyone's position required careful calculation. So let's set aside the considerations of right and wrong and evaluate the most crucial issue of high or low.
If we start with "below", we should look for Joe Biden. He already is sinking in the polls, and he needs something to reverse his momentum. In an ideal world, this would be an incident of Cory Booker-like heroism rescuing a cold dog with TV crews conveniently in hand, but even something much less buck would do as long as it was interesting and positive. On the other hand, focus on Hunter Biden's comfortable show with Ukrainian company Burisma or your work with places that like the New York Times carefully phrases "overlapped your father's footprint in government," well, that doesn't help. Biden would always have shown more restraint than his rivals in his statements about Trump's impeachment – it is in his nature – but having him and his son involved in the affair may just be an additional buffer.
In public, Democrats are approaching Biden. To do anything else would be to support Trump, the real criminal. But they are already being hit by Biden's problems. Last Wednesday, when Elizabeth Warren was asked by a reporter if her ethics rules would allow her vice president's son to serve on the board of a foreign company, she answered"No" and then "I don't, I don't, I don't know, I mean I would have to go back and look." A few days later Kamala Harris asked a similar question and answered "Probably not," and then, "I think the problem we have with this problem again is that it's a distraction from the fact that – look at me, leave Joe Biden alone," before moving to Trump. We'll see more of this sort of thing. Of course, many journalists will point out why it doesn't imply equivalence between Biden and Trump's actions, but that won't stop Trump and his allies from insisting on it. " in the press about the president.
Not to mention what will happen behind the scenes. For now, as long as Biden continues to sink on his own and Warren continues to rise, his rivals will have their backs in public and in private. If he leaps forward yet again, however, we can expect the campaigns of Biden's rivals to start whispering to journalists and donors and to anyone who wants to hear that Biden is too committed to Hunter Biden's issue to resist the noise that Trump will unleash against him. Biden's fall would open potential paths for several other roadside candidates, Pete Buttigieg and Kamala Harris in particular, or even a wildcard candidate like Andrew Yang. But it can also result in a split of spoils by Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, who are postponing any blatant break, albeit with increasing difficulties.